Officials of China’s steel industry has
defined the year of 2015 as “the worst year in terms of profits” although the
steel price is continuously rising.
According to Liu Zhenjiang, secretary of the
Party Committee of Chinese Iron and Steel Association (CISA), the members of
the association suffered a monthly loss of more than RMB10 billion last year,
and the accumulated deficits of the major business were over RMB100 billion,
that is 24 times more than that of last year.
Statistics published by CISA two months ago
showed that members of the association lost RMB64.534 billion. And Liu
explained that it was the result that included investment income and some other
programs. In 2014, the total profit of Association’s member enterprises was RMB
22.589 billion. And then the major business of the steel enterprises went
through deficit of 12 consecutive months. Since July 2015, they have entered
the situation of “heavy losses”.
“Poor
economic performance directly related to the severe overcapacity,” according to
Liu, supply excess began from 2006. From 2006 to 2007, China increased steel
production by 60 million tonnes each year, however, due to the huge pricing
discrepancy between domestic and abroad market, the export volume increased 20
to 30 million tonnes each year accordingly. In this way, even though there’s
overcapacity, enterprise revenue was still in good condition.
In the past a few years, although the steel
outputs have always been in the overproduction, the demand had kept positive
growth each year only till 2013 when it reached to the peak of 765 million tonnes.
As for the present situation, the export volume also reached its peak, and it
is very likely that the export will decline this year.
According to Liu, the profit ratio of sales
of major business in steel industry was -2.23%. “Many enterprises depend on the
means of depreciation. Depreciation ratio of steel business in the member
enterprises has decreased from 9.31% in 2004 to 4.78% in 2015. And if the
depreciation ratio stayed the same, profit ratio of sales would have reduced to
zero since 2008.”
Steel price plunged, which was another
major reason for the losses of steel enterprises. According to CISA, domestic
steel price index in China has declined since the third quarter of 2011, and up
till to the end of last year, it decreased by 55.61% in general, that was
RMB2600 per tonne. Take the year of 2015 as example, the steel price has fallen
by RMB1300 per tonne on year-on-year basis. The present steel price is only the
half of that was in 1994, while the production cost has been all the way going
upward.
One of the major reasons for the extremely
low steel price is the market environment that lack of justice and regulation. According
to Liu, domestic enterprises have been involved in vicious competitions where
market players competing markets through all kind of means to force price down,
and thus we can explain why there are so many counterfeit and shoddy products
among the market and we could also get to know why the enterprises tend not to
make out the receipt. They competed with each other on the basis of the
existing unfair taxes and dues.”
“This round of vicious competition has
turned from ‘sales first’ to ‘not dare to bear the losses,” said Liu, “the
reason for this transformation is that the companies can’t afford the loss as
they used to.”
However, domestic steel price were back to
upward tendency in the first quarter of 2016, and many steel enterprises began
to make profit again. According to CUsteel, a portal of steel in China, the price of screw-thread steel has increased
by at least RMB400 per tonne compared with that of the end of February, and the
production profit has broke through RMB200 per tonne.
Although according to general feedback the
recovery of steel price brought better profits to steel enterprises than the
fourth quarter of last year, it still couldn’t compete with that of the H1 of
2015 as the price of this year was lower on year-on-year basis. For example,
the price of January was RMB500 lower per tonne year on year, that in February
was RMB400 lower, and that in March was RMB300 lower.
During the first quarter of 2016, some
enterprises began to reduce losses, among which some began to operate with
flat, and others began to make profits. The scale of losses was reduced, but
the situation of industry-wide losses has not been changed yet. According to CISA,
the major business of iron and steel industry in China were still in the loss
of RMB11.4 billion during the period of January to February of 2016.
Some enterprises that had been forced to
reduce production because of operational difficulties recovered their
production. According to CUsteel, there have been 60 blast furnaces with total
holding capacity of 45,930 cubic meters all across the country since Spring Festival,
among which 46 furnaces of total capacity of 35,530 cubic meters re-operated in
March. As a result, the daily production of domestic crude steel increased to
2.164 million tons in the middle March, increased by 4.3% on a ten-day basis.
The pre-loss of JISCO Hongxing last year was
RMB6.96 billion, while the pre-loss in the first quarter this year was RMB270
million. The ZYSCO, who lost profits in two consecutive losses, also suffered a
pre-loss of RMB20 million to RMB25 million. Huzhou Yongxing were in the
pre-profit of RMB46 million to RMB57 million.
This year is the so-called Year of Decisive
Battle for steel enterprises to turn from deficit to profits. According to Liu,
it is of prime importance to control production as long as there are excess
capacities in the industry, otherwise, the situation of severe oversupply and
the mess of steel market would be hard to change, and therefore steel
enterprises would keep losing.
*This article is an edited and translated version by CCM. The original article comes from Jiemian.com.
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